Steelman · slot B
The regional spillover case
A Gulf security analyst would argue —For two years the working assumption has been that the Gulf monarchies were spectators — that Iran would calibrate its retaliation to hit American or Israeli targets and leave Emirati and Saudi infrastructure untouched. Today's reports end that assumption. A drone strike on Fujairah, paired with a reported Iranian hit on a US naval vessel within hours, is not a stray escalation; it is a signal that the perimeter of the war now includes the UAE's eastern coast. Whoever launched it — Iran directly, or an aligned force operating with its tolerance — has chosen to make Gulf states co-belligerents in fact, whatever their diplomatic posture has been.