Steelman · slot C
Don't ask the salesman how powerful the product is
An independent technology economist would argue —The people telling you their model could end the world are the same people raising money on that model. That's not a neutral forecast; it's a pitch. When a frontier-lab CEO claims AI will erase 20% of jobs, they are simultaneously talking their book and outsourcing a labor-economics question to someone with no training in labor economics. Questions about employment effects, productivity diffusion, and skill complementarity are empirical — they belong to economists who study how technologies actually propagate through firms and wages, a process that historically takes about fifteen years. LeCun's point isn't anti-AI; it's anti-credulity. If we want to know what this technology will do to work, stop quoting the executives whose valuations depend on the answer being dramatic.