Steelman · slot B
The hollowed-out-base case
A labor-aligned economist would argue —Before the pandemic, lower-income households were actually outpacing the wealthy in spending growth. That flipped in 2023, exactly when relief programs ran out and inflation kept running hotter for the goods and services these families can't substitute away from. The result is visible in the data: cumulative real spending growth of barely 1% for households under $40,000, versus 7.6% at the top. This isn't a story about the rich getting richer in the abstract — it's a story about working families burning through their buffer and then standing still, while asset-holders compound double-digit wealth gains. Any honest read of these numbers says the bottom of the K isn't lagging by choice; it's been squeezed flat.