Steelman · slot B
Honest charts, not scarier ones
A statistically literate science critic would argue —The record-temperature ratio chart claims to show that hot records are occurring more often, but the count of hot records is up only modestly; what makes the bars explode is dividing by a collapsing number of cold records. That's arithmetic, not climate, and the chart is mislabeled to hide it. Mann's 1998 hockey stick splices a smoothed proxy reconstruction onto the instrumental record and then renders the modern blade in thick red against a gray ribbon — a design choice, not a finding. Koonin showed how to handle the same comparability problem honestly by normalizing for station count and observation length. Warming is real and human-caused; that's exactly why the case for it shouldn't lean on constructions that wouldn't survive peer review in any other field.