Steelman · slot B
The aftershock election
A veteran Washington correspondent would argue —Wars are usually judged on whether they were won, but this one will be judged on what it cost at home. Voters in November will not be litigating strategy in the Strait of Hormuz; they will be reacting to what the conflict did to oil markets, supply chains, and the price of a tank of gas. That is the real political transmission mechanism, and it runs straight through the household budget into the ballot box. Foreign policy and domestic politics are no longer separable tracks — the war's economic aftershocks have collapsed them into a single referendum on whether the people running Washington can manage the consequences of their own decisions.